TRACKING THE TROPICS: Monitoring two developing storms near the Gulf of Mexico

TRACKING THE TROPICS: Monitoring two developing storms near the Gulf of Mexico

Justus says one of computer models shows the moisture moving at a slower pace which would means the rainy days could be Friday and Saturday.

The next name on the list is Bret.

Infrared satellite image of 93L. The cyclonic flow around the low would allow for sea water to “pileup” causing flooding for areas just above sea-level.

Track forecasts from a selection of seven global and regional models. Cayman’s own national weather centre said scattered showers and fresh southeasterly winds and rough seas were expected across the Cayman area for the next 24 hours. Still others favor the Florida Panhandle. 4-6 inches of rain appears likely across Acadiana with localized 6-8 inch totals possible from Tuesday through Friday.

Morning sunshine will give way to afternoon thunderstorms Monday.

At 5.00 a.m. the system was centered near 8.4°N, 54.5°W or about 460 miles…740km to the southeast of Barbados. This broad cluster of storms remains disorganized at this time, but is expected to strengthen and develop an area of circulation through Tuesday.

These systems were the Trinidad hurricane in 1933, Tropical Storm Ana in 1979 and Tropical Depression Two in 2000. It’s too early to know where the heaviest rain would fall – as the system has yet to develop – but if you have vacation plans along the Gulf Coast this week, you should follow updates on this potential system.

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two has winds of 40 miles per hour – which is tropical storm force.

He said of the three years, only 1909 was an active season.

Usually, so early in the season, disturbances passing through this region – originating from Africa – are quite weak and/or environmental conditions are hostile to development. They issued tropical storm warnings from St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad, Tobago and Grenada. Another system to the east may beat it and become a named storm later today.

The hurricane season, which doesn’t end till November 30, is expected to be rougher than usual, with 11 to 17 named storms likely to strike.